Patience Is the Key to Buying a Home This Year

Appfolio Websites • May 12, 2021

Patience Is the Key to Buying a Home This Year



The question many homebuyers are facing this year is, “Why is it so hard to find a house?” We’re in the ultimate 
sellers’ market, which means real estate is ultra-competitive for buyers right now. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) notes homes are getting an average of 4.8 offers per sale, and that number keeps rising. Why? It’s because there are so few houses for sale.

Low inventory in the housing market isn’t new, but it’s becoming more challenging to navigate. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.com, explains:

“The housing market is still relatively under supplied, and buyers can’t buy what’s not for sale. Relative to what we saw in 2017 to 2019, March 2021 was still roughly 117,000 new listings lower, adding to the pre-existing early-year gap of more than 200,000 fresh listings that would typically have come to market in January or February. Despite this week’s gain from a year ago, we’re 19 percent below the new seller activity that we saw in the same week in 2019.”

While many homeowners paused their plans to sell during the height of the pandemic, this isn’t the main cause of today’s huge gap between supply and demand. Sam Khater, Vice President and Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, Economic Housing and Research Division, shares:

“The main driver of the housing shortfall has been the long-term decline in the construction of single-family homes . . . That decline has resulted in the decrease in supply of entry-level single-family homes or, ’starter homes.’”

When you consider the number of homes built in the U.S. by decade, the serious lack of new construction is clear (See graph below):The number of newly built homes is disproportionately lower than the rate of household formation, which, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, has continued to increase. Khater also explains:

“Even before the COVID-19 pandemic and current recession, the housing market was facing a substantial supply shortage and that deficit has grown. In 2018, we estimated that there was a housing supply shortage of approximately 2.5 million units, meaning that the U.S. economy was about 2.5 million units below what was needed to match long-term demand. Using the same methodology, we estimate that the housing shortage increased to 3.8 million units by the end of 2020. A continued increase in a housing shortage is extremely unusual; typically in a recession, housing demand declines and supply rises, causing inventory to rise above the long-term trend.”

To catch up to current demand, Freddie Mac estimates we need to build almost four million homes. The good news is builders are working hard to get us there. The U.S. Census Bureau also states:

“Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,766,000. This is 2.7 percent (±1.7 percent) above the revised February rate of 1,720,000 . . . Privately-owned housing starts in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,739,000. This is 19.4 percent (±13.7 percent) above the revised February estimate of 1,457,000. . . .”

What does this mean? Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, clarifies:

“The March figure of 1.74 million housing starts is the highest in 14 years. Both single-family units and multifamily units ramped up. After 13 straight years of underproduction – the chief cause for today’s inventory shortage – this construction boom needs to last for at least three years to make up for the part shortfall. As trade-up buyers purchase newly constructed homes, their prior homes will show up in MLSs, and hence, more choices for consumers. Housing starts to housing completion could be 4 to 8 months, so be patient with the improvement to inventory. In the meantime, construction workers deserve cheers.”

Bottom Line

If you’re planning to buy this year, the key to success will be patience, given today’s low inventory environment. Let’s connect today to talk more about what’s happening in our area.

NOTE: THE ORIGINAL VERSION OF THIS BLOG INCLUDED A GRAPH SHOWING TOTAL NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS BUILT, WHICH INCLUDED HOUSES AND APARTMENT UNITS. THE REVISED GRAPH, SHOWN HERE, INCLUDES ONLY SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES, WHICH MORE ACCURATELY EXPLAINS THE CURRENT SITUATION.


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By KCM March 21, 2026
The oldest living generation today is often described as sitting on a tremendous amount of wealth. Much of it has been built slowly over decades, and a large portion of it is tied up in real estate — homes where decades of life took place — paid down slowly, maintained carefully, and held onto for years. Lately, there’s been a lot of talk about how that wealth will eventually be passed on to younger generations, and how it could dramatically change their lives. Some of the headlines make it sound as though heirs are simply waiting in the wings, ready to receive an inheritance and turn it into luxury purchases, second homes, or dramatic lifestyle upgrades. It can create the impression that the next generation is counting the days until they receive the wealth that took a lifetime to build, and the ways that it will be quickly spent. But in reality, that picture doesn’t reflect what many families actually experience. For many heirs, the wealth they inherit doesn’t arrive as money at all. It is often in the form of a home. And it usually takes time, effort, coordination, and decisions that aren’t simple to make, especially during an already emotional period before the house provides them with any form of money to spend on their own. Inheriting a Home Can Actually Be a Financial Burden When someone inherits a home, they haven’t inherited cash that can be used right away. They’ve inherited a property that comes with responsibilities, decisions, and ongoing costs. Even before anything can be sold, there are practical realities to manage. Property taxes still come due. Insurance needs to remain in place. Utilities, upkeep, and sometimes association fees don’t stop when they inherit the property. And if the home sits vacant, those expenses can actually increase, not decrease. There are often administrative steps to work through as well. Settling an estate, navigating probate timelines, coordinating paperwork, or addressing title issues can take longer than people expect or can easily manage. When multiple heirs are involved, decisions can become more complex, even when everyone has good intentions. All of this means there is often a long stretch between inheriting a home and being able to access any financial benefit from it. In fact, that in-between period can be especially challenging because it may also require them to spend their own time and money in order to maintain the property, at a moment when they are already dealing with loss and transition. The Money May Be Helpful… Just Not Life-Changing The phrase “generational wealth” can create unrealistic expectations. While some heirs do inherit properties worth millions, many inherit homes with far more modest equity — especially once mortgages, liens, repairs, and selling costs are factored in. For a lot of families, the proceeds from selling an inherited home won’t fund a luxury purchase or dramatically alter their lifestyle. Instead, it may: Pay down lingering debt Rebuild savings that were stretched thin Cover education expenses Serve as a long-awaited down payment on a home of their own Provide a financial buffer during uncertain times All of that is meaningful. But for most heirs, their inheritance is more about stability than it is an immediate path to a high-end lifestyle often imagined when people hear “generational wealth.” It Might Be Difficult to Talk About, But It’s Worth It Talking about what will happen to a home after someone passes can feel morbid, premature, or even unnecessary. Many homeowners plan to live in their home for the rest of their lives, and updating it or thinking about the future may not feel necessary. So if this isn’t an easy topic to bring up, that’s completely understandable. But avoiding the conversation doesn’t make the responsibilities disappear. It simply passes them along to your heirs, who must navigate decisions, logistics, and costs while also coping with loss. Thoughtful planning doesn’t have to mean selling early or making major changes. Often, it’s as simple as understanding the home’s condition, keeping records organized, knowing its likely market value, or having a clear sense of what will need to be done — and by whom — when the time comes. As difficult as it might be, the most meaningful thing you can do for yourself and your heirs is to start open conversations now and discuss how the house will eventually be handled. The Takeaway: Headlines about the “great generational wealth transfer” often make it sound like an entire generation is about to become extremely wealthy and start buying luxury real estate. Some heirs may use their inheritance that way. But for most, the reality is far less glamorous. Much of the inherited wealth comes in the form of real estate — homes that need upkeep, management, and careful decisions before any financial benefit can be realized. Proceeds from selling an inherited home can be meaningful (paying down debt, rebuilding savings, or helping with a down payment), but they rarely become a life-changing windfall. For most heirs, it’s about stability, not luxury. Open conversations and thoughtful planning now can help ensure that when the time comes, an inheritance provides support instead of unexpected financial or emotional stress.
By KCM March 19, 2026
Should You Wait for Lower Rates? Mortgage rates have already dropped into the upper 5s twice this year. But after just a few days, they ticked back up into the low 6% range. If you saw that and thought, “Great. I missed it,” you’re not the only one. A lot of buyers are treating the 5s like some kind of magic number. As if moving from 6.1% to 5.99% suddenly changes everything. And from a mindset perspective, it does feel different. But here’s the part most people don’t actually run the math on. The Payment Difference Isn’t What You Think Let’s say you’re looking at a $500,000 home loan. At 6.1% , generally speaking, your principal and interest payment is roughly $3,030 per month. At 5.9%, it’s about $2,966 per month. That’s a difference of only $64 a month. Not $300. Not $500. Sixty dollars. Let that sink in for just a moment. Yes, over time that $64 a month can add up. But it’s far from the dramatic swing many buyers imagine when they say they’re “waiting for the 5s.” The psychological impact of seeing a 5 in front of your rate can feel big. The financial impact? It might be something you don’t even notice when it’s all said and done. Experts Aren’t Predicting a Big Drop Another important piece to think about: most housing economists aren’t forecasting a long-term return to 5% territory anytime soon. While rates will move up and down, likely hitting the high 5s here and there, the broader expectation is for mortgage rates to hover in the low 6% range this year, not stay in the 5’s or decline much more. While it certainly could happen, the reality is, waiting for a deep drop may not deliver the payoff you’re hoping for, if you’re holding out The Bigger Question to Ask Instead of asking, “Did I miss the 5s?” A better question is: “Does today’s payment work for me?” If the monthly payment fits comfortably in your budget, and you’ve found a home that meets your needs, the difference between 6.1% and 5.9% likely isn’t the deciding factor. It might be one of them, but it shouldn’t be everything. And remember, mortgage rates aren’t permanent. If they drop meaningfully later, refinancing is always an option. But you can’t refinance a home you didn’t buy. Waiting Might Feel Safe, But It Isn’t Always Strategic It’s natural to want the best possible rate. Everyone does. But sometimes buyers overestimate how much a rate in the high 5s will change things in today’s market. Don’t miss the fact that rates have already come down. A year ago, they were in the 7s. Now? They’re hovering in the low 6s. And for a lot of people, that percentage point difference that’s already here is the real game changer . If you paused your plans when rates were higher, now may be the right time to re-run your numbers. Not because rates are “perfect.” But because the monthly payment math might work better than you think, even with rates in the low 6s. Before assuming you’ve missed your moment, take another look at the numbers. You may find it never disappeared. Bottom Line If you’ve been sitting on the sidelines waiting for that magic number for rates, that strategy may not pay off as much as you’d expect. Let's connect so you can double check the math at your price point. You may realize payments are already within your range.
By KCM March 17, 2026
Spring Sellers Have an Edge. Here’s Why. Homeowners looking to sell usually want three things: plenty of interested buyers, strong offers, and a short timeline. Spring is the season that most often delivers all three. So, if a move has been on your mind this year, this is the window where momentum tends to work in your favor. Here’s what makes this season so powerful for sellers. 1. More Buyers Will Be Looking Typically speaking, in the housing market, there’s no more popular time to move than the Spring. Historically, data coming out of ShowingTime proves that’s when buyer activity peaks each year. Take a look for yourself (see graph below): And this year, there’s more than just the seasonal trend working in your favor. Mortgage rates are also sitting near 3-year lows – and that combination matters. More buyers + improving affordability = more eyes on your house . That doesn’t mean the market will return to the frenzy of the pandemic – far from it. But it does mean more buyers will be ready to re-enter the market. And that’s good for you. As Redfin says: “Homebuying demand is improving . . . and mortgage-purchase applications are sitting near their highest level in three years. . ." You should make sure your house is listed so you can take advantage of the uptick in demand. Because more activity means one thing: more opportunity to get a deal done. 2. You May Get More Offers With more buyer demand, it makes sense that you may get more offers on your house. And history shows that’s usually true. If we look at the data for the last three years from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), and take the averages for each month, it’s clear sellers in the Spring get more offers (see graph below): Now, don’t expect the excessive bidding wars that were so famous in 2020 and 2021. But it does mean, seasonality could help you out this Spring. As Realtor.com explains : “Spring typically brings out more buyers who are ready to make a move before summer. Listings see more views, showings, and offers during this season .” And that could be really good for your bottom line. 3. Homes Usually Sell Faster There’s one more predictable pattern that happens pretty much every Spring based on research from Realtor.com. Homes sell faster (see graph below): On average, homes sell 20 days faster in the Spring compared to the Winter. That’s almost 3 weeks shaved off your timeline. And that's a difference you can feel. Since homes have been taking longer to sell lately, listing your house during what’s usually the most active time of the year means you’re setting yourself up to move as quickly as possible. And isn’t that what sellers really want? The faster your home sells, the earlier you can move on to what’s next for you. If you’re eager to go on to your next chapter, need to downsize , or you’ve run out of space , Spring may be your best time to sell. Bottom Line Spring doesn’t guarantee a sale. Strategy still matters. But this season gives you something valuable: momentum. More buyers. More activity. More opportunity. The real question is: if you’re going to sell this year, why not do it when the odds are in your favor? Let’s talk about what selling this season could mean for your house and your timeline.
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