Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash

KCM • February 18, 2023

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash



67% of Americans say a housing market crash is imminent in the next three years. With all the talk in the media lately about shifts in the housing market, it makes sense why so many people feel this way. But there’s good news. Current data shows today’s market is nothing like it was before the housing crash in 2008.

Back Then, Mortgage Standards Were Less Strict

During the lead-up to the housing crisis, it was much easier to get a home loan than it is today. Banks were creating artificial demand by lowering lending standards and making it easy for just about anyone to qualify for a home loan or refinance an existing one.

As a result, lending institutions took on much greater risk in both the person and the mortgage products offered. That led to mass defaults, foreclosures, and falling prices. Today, things are different, and purchasers face much higher standards from mortgage companies.

The graph below uses data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) to help tell this story. In this index, the higher the number, the easier it is to get a mortgage. The lower the number, the harder it is.


This graph also shows just how different things are today compared to the spike in credit availability leading up to the crash. Tighter lending standards have helped prevent a situation that could lead to a wave of foreclosures like the last time.

Foreclosure Volume Has Declined a Lot Since the Crash

Another difference is the number of homeowners that were facing foreclosure when the housing bubble burst. Foreclosure activity has been lower since the crash, largely because buyers today are more qualified and less likely to default on their loans. The graph below uses data from ATTOM to show the difference between last time and now:


So even as foreclosures tick up, the total number is still very low. And on top of that, most experts don’t expect foreclosures to go up drastically like they did following the crash in 2008. Bill McBride, Founder of Calculated Risk, explains the impact a large increase in foreclosures had on home prices back then – and how that’s unlikely this time.

“The bottom line is there will be an increase in foreclosures over the next year (from record level lows), but there will not be a huge wave of distressed sales as happened following the housing bubble. The distressed sales during the housing bust led to cascading price declines, and that will not happen this time.”

The Supply of Homes for Sale Today Is More Limited

For historical context, there were too many homes for sale during the housing crisis (many of which were short sales and foreclosures), and that caused prices to fall dramatically. Supply has increased since the start of this year, but there’s still a shortage of inventory available overall, primarily due to years of underbuilding homes.

The graph below uses data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) to show how the months’ supply of homes available now compares to the crash. Today, unsold inventory sits at just 2.7-months’ supply at the current sales pace, which is significantly lower than the last time. There just isn’t enough inventory on the market for home prices to come crashing down like they did last time, even though some overheated markets may experience slight declines.


Bottom Line

If recent headlines have you worried we’re headed for another housing crash, the data above should help ease those fears. Expert insights and the most current data clearly show that today’s market is nothing like it was last time.


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By The Lighter Side of Real Estate July 31, 2025
Real estate agents often joke that the best way to guarantee something big happens with a client is to plan a vacation. The minute their out-of-office email is set, sellers decide to list, buyers find their dream house, and offers start flying. But it’s not just agents. If you’re in the middle of buying a home, odds are that as soon as you finally book that much-needed vacation, the perfect property will hit the market—or your lender will suddenly need one more document before they can clear your file. So, what do you do if you’re house hunting—or already under contract—and also have a trip on the calendar? Cancel everything and put life on hold? Not at all. With a little planning and coordination, you can keep your transaction moving while still getting the break you deserve. Here’s how to juggle both without losing sleep—or the house of your dreams. Choose the Right Agent (And Empower Them) If you’re going to be out of town, your real estate agent becomes even more important than usual. You need someone who knows your preferences inside and out, can jump on new listings quickly, and is comfortable communicating across time zones and tech platforms. During the search phase, that might mean giving you a live FaceTime tour from a showing or sending over detailed videos. Once you’re under contract, it means staying on top of every little detail and making sure the transaction doesn’t lose momentum while you’re away. If you haven’t found the right agent yet, don’t wait until you’re packing your bags to start looking. The earlier you establish that relationship, the smoother things will go when you need them to step in on your behalf. Line Up the Rest of Your Team in Advance Buying a home takes more than just you and your agent. Lenders, inspectors, title reps, insurance providers—they all play a role, and each of them will likely need some kind of document, signature, or decision from you at some point along the way. You’re always free to choose who you work with, but if you don’t have go-to contacts, your agent likely does. Leaning on their network of trusted professionals can help make the process smoother. These are people your agent already has a working relationship with, which can lead to quicker responses, clearer communication, and fewer dropped balls. Either way, make your choices early and connect your team members with your agent so everyone is in the loop when the time comes. To avoid last-minute scrambling, try to front-load as many tasks as possible. Your lender may be able to gather key documents like pay stubs, bank statements, and ID copies ahead of time and keep them on file. If the timing works, you might even be able to knock out inspections or appraisals before you leave. At the very least, let your core contacts know your travel dates and the best way to reach you if something needs your attention. And if there’s someone you trust—like a family member, close friend, or legal rep—consider giving them written permission or even power of attorney to act on your behalf while you’re away. It’s an extra layer of protection in case something time-sensitive comes up, and your agent or attorney can help you get that paperwork squared away. Make Sure You’re Tech-Ready Most real estate transactions today can be managed remotely, at least to a degree. But that only works if you’ve got the right tools in place. Check that your phone plan includes coverage wherever you’re going, especially if you’re heading out of the country. If not, upgrade or add international service temporarily. Bring a laptop or tablet, make sure you know how to use e-signature platforms like DocuSign, and test your access before you leave. Wi-Fi may not always be reliable, so plan ahead for backup options. If you need to print, scan, or fax something, scope out nearby business centers or office supply stores at your destination. Many hotels offer these services too—worth confirming before you check in. Store Documents Securely (But Accessibly) Buying a home involves a surprising amount of sensitive paperwork—Social Security numbers, financial records, legal IDs, and more. It’s risky (and stressful) to travel with those items physically, but you may need them while you’re away. One smart solution is to upload essential documents to a secure, password-protected cloud storage service. That way, you can access and forward what’s needed from anywhere, without carrying paper copies through airport security. Just make sure you’ve tested access and organized your files before you take off. If there are a few documents you’ve been specifically told to bring with you, keep them on your person—not in checked luggage—and secure them in a locked bag or safe at your destination. Set a Daily “Check-In” Time Even on vacation, it helps to stay lightly engaged with your real estate team. You don’t have to be glued to your phone all day, but having a set time each day to check email, return calls, and review any updates can go a long way in keeping things moving. Let your agent and lender know when you’ll be available, especially if there’s a big time difference. It doesn’t need to be a long call—just enough to make decisions, sign what’s needed, or give the go-ahead on the next steps. And if you’re traveling with others? Give them a heads-up too. A quick explanation that you’ll need 15–20 minutes a day to keep a major life event on track can save everyone from surprises later. Consider Travel Insurance—Just in Case If you’re planning a once-in-a-lifetime trip or dropping a lot of money on travel, it might be worth looking into a travel insurance policy that includes “cancel for any reason” coverage. That way, if a can’t-miss opportunity or closing snag pops up and you have to delay or cancel your plans, you’re not entirely out of pocket. Even if you don’t go that route, having some sort of backup plan—like refundable bookings or flexible accommodations—can offer a little peace of mind. The Takeaway: Timing a vacation while buying a home can feel like tempting fate—but with the right preparation, you don’t have to choose between relaxing and staying on top of your transaction. From lining up a reliable agent and support team to setting aside time for daily check-ins, a little planning goes a long way toward making sure things don’t fall through the cracks while you’re away. The key is to think a few steps ahead. Have your documents ready, your tech in place, and your people connected. Whether you’re still house hunting or already under contract, you can absolutely take that trip—as long as you take the right precautions to keep everything moving behind the scenes.
By The Lighter Side of Real Estate July 29, 2025
For a while now, buyers were waiving their inspection contingency just to stay competitive in bidding wars in many markets. But that’s starting to shift. While waiving inspections still happens in some areas and price points, it’s no longer the default move for every buyer. More and more, we’re seeing offers that include the right to inspect—especially in markets where things are cooling just a bit or buyers feel they have some leverage. If you’re planning to sell, it’s time to expect that your buyer may want a home inspection. And honestly? That’s completely normal. In fact, doing a home inspection is far more common than skipping one. So don’t take it personally or assume something’s wrong when a buyer wants to have a closer look at the property. Is there a chance your buyer will discover an issue with your house? Of course. Could they come back with a list of things they want you to fix or credit—some of which might feel a little over the top? Yup. Will any of it be a deal breaker? Maybe… According to a recent article from the National Association of REALTORS®, the number of home sales falling out of contract has been on the rise. Around 6% of contracts were canceled in recent months—and in May alone, nearly 15% of homes under contract didn’t make it to closing. Deals can fall apart for all kinds of reasons, but one of the biggest culprits behind many of those cancellations is likely issues uncovered during the home inspection. Which is why the article suggests getting ahead of potential problems by doing a “pre-inspection” before listing. It’s not a bad idea in some situations—but it’s not the right move for everyone. So before you schedule that pre-listing inspection, here are a few things to consider. 3 Things to Consider Before Getting a Pre-inspection on Your Home With the growing number of deals falling apart, it’s no surprise that some sellers are being advised to get a pre-listing inspection—essentially hiring a home inspector before the house even hits the market. On the surface, it sounds like a smart strategy: find out what’s wrong before the buyer does, fix what needs fixing, and reduce the risk of surprises that could derail the deal later. And in some cases, it really can help. But before you add it to your to-do list, it’s worth looking at the bigger picture. A pre-inspection isn’t a one-size-fits-all solution—and it may come with a few unintended consequences sellers don’t always consider. Once you know about it, you have to disclose it. Let’s say you already know there’s a water stain on your ceiling. You’ll need to disclose or fix that anyway. But maybe you haven’t been up in the attic in a while, or ever. If your inspector finds signs of a roof leak up there, that’s something you now know about. Which means it’s something you now legally need to disclose to buyers, even if it wasn’t visible before. This isn’t about hiding things (that’s never the goal), but it’s worth understanding: a pre-inspection can expand your disclosure obligations. The buyer will probably still get their own inspection. Just because you’ve had one done doesn’t mean the buyer will accept it and move on. In many cases, they’ll still bring in their own inspector. And guess what? Their inspector might see something yours didn’t. Or interpret the same issue differently. So while a pre-inspection can help reduce surprises, it’s not a magic shield against inspection negotiations later on. You might feel pressure to fix more than you need to. With a pre-inspection, there’s a temptation to fix every single issue before going to market. That might not be necessary—or even wise. Some buyers are perfectly fine with small cosmetic flaws or outdated systems, especially if they’re reflected in the price. Fixing things just because they showed up in your report could cost you time and money without adding much return. You may be better off just letting the buyer do their own inspection and letting you know what they found and what they feel needs to be addressed. Lean on Your Agent’s Advice There’s no one-size-fits-all answer to whether you should do a pre-inspection or not. It really depends upon your particular home, the local market conditions, and even the price range your house falls within. So before you schedule any inspections—or skip them altogether—have a candid conversation with your agent about what makes the most sense for your situation. Your agent can help you weigh the pros and cons based on your home’s condition, your local market, and the type of buyer you’re likely to attract. They can also refer you to trusted home inspectors—ones who provide thorough, honest reports at a fair price. (Not all inspectors are created equal, and your agent likely has experience working with the good ones.) The Takeaway: More buyers are doing inspections again. That’s not a bad thing. It’s just a return to normal—and a chance for buyers to feel confident about the home they’re purchasing. As a seller, that means being prepared for the possibility of inspection negotiations and knowing how to navigate them without letting the deal fall apart. While a pre-inspection can be helpful, it’s not a one-size-fits-all solution. It may prevent surprises, but it could also open up new ones. Before deciding, talk to your real estate agent. They’ll help you understand what makes sense in today’s market—and how to move forward with confidence.
By KCM July 27, 2025
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