4 Reasons Why the End of Forbearance Will Not Lead to a Wave of Foreclosures

Appfolio Websites • August 5, 2021

4 Reasons Why the End of Forbearance Will Not Lead to a Wave of Foreclosures



With forbearance plans about to come to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures like what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are four reasons why that won’t happen.

1. There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time

After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million households lost their home to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.

As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the overwhelming fear was the pandemic would decimate the housing industry in a similar way. Many experts projected 30% of all mortgage holders would enter the forbearance program. Only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 3.5%.

As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at 1,863,000. That’s definitely a large number, but nowhere near 9.3 million.

2. Most of the 1.86M in forbearance have enough equity to sell their home

Of the 1.86 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 87% have at least 10% equity in their homes. The 10% equity number is important because it enables homeowners to sell their houses and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.

The remaining 13% might not all have the option to sell, so if the entire 13% of the 1.86M homes went into foreclosure, that would total 241,800 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the annual foreclosure numbers of the three years leading up to the pandemic:

  • 2017: 314,220
  • 2018: 279,040
  • 2019: 277,520

The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures coming out of the housing crash 15 years ago. The number does, however, draw a similar comparison to the three years prior to the pandemic.

3. The current market can absorb any listings coming to the market

When foreclosures hit the market in 2008, there was an excess supply of homes for sale. The situation is exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was a 9-month supply of listings for sale. Today, that number stands at less than 3 months of inventory on the market.

As Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains when addressing potential foreclosures emerging from the forbearance program:

“Any foreclosure increases will likely be quickly absorbed by the market. It will not lead to any price declines.”

4. Those in power will do whatever is necessary to prevent a wave of foreclosures

Just last Friday, the White House released a fact sheet explaining how homeowners with government-backed mortgages will be given further options to enable them to keep their homes when exiting forbearance. Here are two examples mentioned in the release:

  • “For homeowners who can resume their pre-pandemic monthly mortgage payment and where agencies have the authority, agencies will continue requiring mortgage servicers to offer options that allow borrowers to move missed payments to the end of the mortgage at no additional cost to the borrower.”
  • “The new steps the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Department of Agriculture (USDA), and Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) are announcing will aim to provide homeowners with a roughly 25% reduction in borrowers’ monthly principal and interest (P&I) payments to ensure they can afford to remain in their homes and build equity long-term. This brings options for homeowners with mortgages backed by HUD, USDA, and VA closer in alignment with options for homeowners with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”

When evaluating the four reasons above, it’s clear there won’t be a flood of foreclosures coming to the market as the forbearance program winds down.

Bottom Line

As Ivy Zelman, founder of the major housing market analytical firm Zelman & Associates, notes:

“The likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is about zero percent.”


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Home Inspections Are on the Rise Again, but Should Sellers Get a PRE-inspection Before Hitting the Market?

By The Lighter Side of Real Estate • July 29, 2025
For a while now, buyers were waiving their inspection contingency just to stay competitive in bidding wars in many markets. But that’s starting to shift. While waiving inspections still happens in some areas and price points, it’s no longer the default move for every buyer. More and more, we’re seeing offers that include the right to inspect—especially in markets where things are cooling just a bit or buyers feel they have some leverage. If you’re planning to sell, it’s time to expect that your buyer may want a home inspection. And honestly? That’s completely normal. In fact, doing a home inspection is far more common than skipping one. So don’t take it personally or assume something’s wrong when a buyer wants to have a closer look at the property. Is there a chance your buyer will discover an issue with your house? Of course. Could they come back with a list of things they want you to fix or credit—some of which might feel a little over the top? Yup. Will any of it be a deal breaker? Maybe… According to a recent article from the National Association of REALTORS®, the number of home sales falling out of contract has been on the rise. Around 6% of contracts were canceled in recent months—and in May alone, nearly 15% of homes under contract didn’t make it to closing. Deals can fall apart for all kinds of reasons, but one of the biggest culprits behind many of those cancellations is likely issues uncovered during the home inspection. Which is why the article suggests getting ahead of potential problems by doing a “pre-inspection” before listing. It’s not a bad idea in some situations—but it’s not the right move for everyone. So before you schedule that pre-listing inspection, here are a few things to consider. 3 Things to Consider Before Getting a Pre-inspection on Your Home With the growing number of deals falling apart, it’s no surprise that some sellers are being advised to get a pre-listing inspection—essentially hiring a home inspector before the house even hits the market. On the surface, it sounds like a smart strategy: find out what’s wrong before the buyer does, fix what needs fixing, and reduce the risk of surprises that could derail the deal later. And in some cases, it really can help. But before you add it to your to-do list, it’s worth looking at the bigger picture. A pre-inspection isn’t a one-size-fits-all solution—and it may come with a few unintended consequences sellers don’t always consider. Once you know about it, you have to disclose it. Let’s say you already know there’s a water stain on your ceiling. You’ll need to disclose or fix that anyway. But maybe you haven’t been up in the attic in a while, or ever. If your inspector finds signs of a roof leak up there, that’s something you now know about. Which means it’s something you now legally need to disclose to buyers, even if it wasn’t visible before. This isn’t about hiding things (that’s never the goal), but it’s worth understanding: a pre-inspection can expand your disclosure obligations. The buyer will probably still get their own inspection. Just because you’ve had one done doesn’t mean the buyer will accept it and move on. In many cases, they’ll still bring in their own inspector. And guess what? Their inspector might see something yours didn’t. Or interpret the same issue differently. So while a pre-inspection can help reduce surprises, it’s not a magic shield against inspection negotiations later on. You might feel pressure to fix more than you need to. With a pre-inspection, there’s a temptation to fix every single issue before going to market. That might not be necessary—or even wise. Some buyers are perfectly fine with small cosmetic flaws or outdated systems, especially if they’re reflected in the price. Fixing things just because they showed up in your report could cost you time and money without adding much return. You may be better off just letting the buyer do their own inspection and letting you know what they found and what they feel needs to be addressed. Lean on Your Agent’s Advice There’s no one-size-fits-all answer to whether you should do a pre-inspection or not. It really depends upon your particular home, the local market conditions, and even the price range your house falls within. So before you schedule any inspections—or skip them altogether—have a candid conversation with your agent about what makes the most sense for your situation. Your agent can help you weigh the pros and cons based on your home’s condition, your local market, and the type of buyer you’re likely to attract. They can also refer you to trusted home inspectors—ones who provide thorough, honest reports at a fair price. (Not all inspectors are created equal, and your agent likely has experience working with the good ones.) The Takeaway: More buyers are doing inspections again. That’s not a bad thing. It’s just a return to normal—and a chance for buyers to feel confident about the home they’re purchasing. As a seller, that means being prepared for the possibility of inspection negotiations and knowing how to navigate them without letting the deal fall apart. While a pre-inspection can be helpful, it’s not a one-size-fits-all solution. It may prevent surprises, but it could also open up new ones. Before deciding, talk to your real estate agent. They’ll help you understand what makes sense in today’s market—and how to move forward with confidence.

Don’t Make These Mistakes When Selling Your House

By KCM • July 27, 2025
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Why a Newly Built Home Might Be the Move Right Now

By KCM • July 24, 2025
Why a Newly Built Home Might Be the Move Right Now Are you looking for better home prices, or even a lower mortgage rate? You might find both in one place: a newly built home. While many buyers are overlooking new construction, it could be your best opportunity in today’s market. Here’s why. There are more brand-new homes available right now than there were even just a few months ago. According to the most recent data from the Census and the National Association of Realtors (NAR), roughly 1 in 5 homes for sale right now is new construction. So, if you’re not looking at newly built homes, you’re missing out on a big portion of what’s available. And with more new homes on the market, builders are motivated to sell their current inventory. As a result, many are taking steps to draw in buyers. Builders Are Cutting Prices According to Buddy Hughes, Chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB): “Almost 40% of home builders reduced sales prices in the last month . . .” That means builders are being realistic about today’s market and adjusting to what buyers can afford. It’s their way to keep their inventory moving. So, builders may be more willing to negotiate price than you’d expect – and that means your dollar may go further if you buy a newly built home. Lean on your agent to see what’s available and what incentives builders are offering in and around your area. Builders Are Offering Lower Mortgage Rates Here’s something most people don’t know. Right now, buyers of brand-new homes often get better mortgage rates than buyers of existing homes. That’s because many builders are also offering rate buydowns to make their homes more attractive and keep sales moving. Basically, they’re willing to chip in to lower your rate, so you’re more likely to buy one of their homes. Data from Realtor.com shows, in 2023 and 2024, buyers of newly built homes got a mortgage rate around half a percent lower compared to those who bought existing homes (see graph below): That kind of savings adds up and makes a big difference when you’re figuring out your monthly budget. So, if you haven’t found something you love yet, it’s time to add newly built homes to your search. You may find that what you’ve been looking for is already out there, it’s just in a new home community. Bottom Line More choices, the potential to negotiate on the price, and maybe even better mortgage rates make these options a bright spot in today’s housing market. If you haven’t considered a newly built home yet, what’s holding you back? Let’s talk about it and see if it’s worth checking out new builds in and around our area.
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